Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 4.079412 4.857212 5.722615 6.753925 7.946366 9.278574 10.876284
2025-09-14 2.790367 3.738676 4.904018 6.429600 8.360891 10.710005 13.767417
2025-09-21 2.118677 3.133195 4.486348 6.397323 8.995899 12.371389 17.046057
2025-09-28 1.669370 2.691951 4.156193 6.361819 9.545819 13.911340 20.268952
2025-10-05 1.460911 2.535361 4.168356 6.762909 10.695240 16.325999 24.860437
2025-10-12 1.255829 2.335217 4.069286 6.962703 11.545912 18.369058 29.084041
2025-10-19 1.111093 2.200752 4.041588 7.250829 12.536862 20.679213 33.865790
2025-10-26 0.945914 1.996054 3.861039 7.255521 13.063119 22.307418 37.725699
2025-11-02 0.774731 1.744642 3.556995 7.001775 13.122486 23.185764 40.460393
2025-11-09 0.637741 1.530730 3.283888 6.757877 13.156476 24.002699 43.129994
2025-11-16 0.553933 1.408666 3.162883 6.770060 13.627648 25.565908 47.117077
2025-11-23 0.483794 1.301625 3.053726 6.786584 14.099636 27.154705 51.243958
2025-11-30 0.413505 1.181422 2.902977 6.709473 14.403113 28.497828 55.095761
2025-12-07 0.336124 1.026171 2.651831 6.393581 14.213546 28.939731 57.396657
2025-12-14 0.290872 0.941920 2.544174 6.363419 14.579299 30.420844 61.658798
2025-12-21 0.252074 0.865497 2.441498 6.328665 14.927747 31.888985 65.988361
2025-12-28 0.241494 0.866998 2.527150 6.728097 16.216852 35.250334 74.065651
2026-01-04 0.221616 0.836146 2.526850 6.927039 17.094086 37.863692 80.877654
2026-01-11 0.207566 0.820105 2.562096 7.213880 18.186557 40.975186 88.831175
2026-01-18 0.183539 0.765548 2.485876 7.218555 18.650258 42.844906 94.464499
2026-01-25 0.153666 0.682460 2.316330 6.965958 18.502377 43.442212 97.602320
2026-02-01 0.128655 0.608779 2.159511 6.723167 18.348987 44.008880 100.701301
2026-02-08 0.114327 0.570940 2.101854 6.735294 18.800107 45.888642 106.590995